Question 1
AdvancedLeading Complex Investigations · Investigative Mindset and Approach
A senior investigator at a multinational bank is scoping a complex investigation involving a network of shell companies in three different jurisdictions. The initial alert was triggered by a sudden spike in wire transfers. To minimize confirmation bias during the initial hypothesis generation phase, which approach should the investigator prioritize?
Answer and explanation
Correct answer: D
Confirmation bias occurs when an investigator focuses only on evidence that supports their initial feeling. The best practice in leading complex investigations is to use the 'Analysis of Competing Hypotheses' method, where one actively seeks to disprove the leading theory and considers alternative explanations (like legitimate business growth) before drawing a conclusion.
